According to @StockMKTNewz, Kalshi pricing implies a 95% probability that Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 0.25% tomorrow, flagging a high-probability policy move that traders can plan around. Source: @StockMKTNewz tweet dated Dec 9, 2025. This 95% implied odds also means a 5% residual tail for alternative outcomes, focusing event risk management on execution timing and post-decision communication during the FOMC window for crypto pairs and derivatives such as BTC and ETH. Source: @StockMKTNewz tweet dated Dec 9, 2025.